Stonegate Updates Coverage on Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. (NasdaqGS:TCBX) Q4 2024

Key Takeaways

  • Reported net income of $13.7M, up from $12.8M in 3Q24.
  • The Company’s loan portfolio continues to show strong growth, with an increase of $327.6M year over year.
  • The efficiency ratio for the quarter was 58.80%, an improvement from59.57% last quarter.

DALLAS, TX -- January 27th, 2024 -- Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. (NasdaqGS:TCBX): Stonegate Capital Partners updates their coverage on Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. For 4Q24, Third Coast reported net income of $13.7M, up from $12.8M in 3Q24. This was equal to a basic and diluted EPS of $0.92 and $0.79, respectively. The Q/Q growth was primarily attributed to higher net interest income, driven by loan growth and increased investments in federal funds sold and interest-bearing deposits with correspondent banks. However, this increase was partially offset by a slightly higher provision for credit losses and rising expenses related to salaries and employee benefits. We anticipate that the Company will continue prioritizing operational efficiency by sustaining its 1% improvement initiative. This strategy is expected to support Third Coast in the current macroeconomic landscape.

Company Summary 

Interest Income and Expenses: TCBX reported a net interest margin of 3.71% for the quarter, which is down from 3.73% in 3Q24. We note that this remains elevated compared to the median comps NIM of 3.39%. Year over year NIM increased 10bps from 3.61%. This was primarily due to an increase in net interest income, resulting from federal funds sold and deposits in interest-bearing correspondent banks, reflecting an increase of $1.9M in 4Q24, a 68.4% change Q/Q from 3Q24.

Deposits and Loans: The Company’s loan portfolio continues to show strong growth, with an increase of $327.6M year over year. During the same period, net deposits rose by $507.4M, representing a 13.3% increase. Non-performing assets for 4Q24 were $27.9M, up from $24.0M in the previous quarter. This corresponds to a nonperforming loan to total loans ratio of 0.70%, compared to 0.62% in 3Q24. The Company recorded net charge-offs of $879,000 for the fourth quarter of 2024, down from $1.5M in the fourth quarter of 2023. Lastly, we note that the quarter end book value and tangible book value were $28.65 and $27.29, respectively. This was up from 3Q24 in values of $28.13 and $26.75.

Financial Ratios: At the end of 4Q24, Tier 1 capital ratio was 9.90%, down slightly from 9.93% in 3Q24. Third Coast’s non-performing loans to total loans percentage was 0.70%, an increase from 0.62% in 3Q24. TCBX had a ROAA and ROAE of 1.13% and 12.66%, respectively. The efficiency ratio for the quarter was 58.80%, an improvement from 59.57% last quarter. The Bank currently has $421.2M in cash and equivalents, representing a 35.78% increase from $270.4M in 3Q24. This is equal to $30.75 per share or approximately 89% of the stock value.

Growth Initiatives: TCBX continued its expansion in 2H24, opening its 19th branch. The Company maintained its focus on strategic objectives, achieving the above-mentioned efficiency ratio. Management emphasized ongoing efforts to diversify the deposit portfolio and manage expenses effectively. The loan portfolio saw significant growth, with gross loans increasing to $3.97B. With a robust loan pipeline and strategic initiatives in place, TCBX is well-positioned for sustained growth.

Valuation: We use a comp analysis on P/E and P/BV to frame our valuation of TCBX. Using a forward P/E range of 9.0x to 10.0x with a mid-point of 9.5x on FY26 estimates results in a valuation range of $36.85 to $40.95 with a mid-point of $38.90. Using a P/BV range of 1.3x to 1.5x with a mid-point of 1.4x results in a valuation range of $37.25 to $42.98 with a mid-point of $40.11.


About Stonegate
Stonegate Capital Partners is a leading capital markets advisory firm providing investor relations, equity research, and institutional investor outreach services for public companies. Our affiliate, Stonegate Capital Markets (member FINRA) provides a full spectrum of investment banking, equity research and capital raising for public and private companies.

Key Takeaways

  • Reported net income of $13.7M, up from $12.8M in 3Q24.
  • The Company’s loan portfolio continues to show strong growth, with an increase of $327.6M year over year.
  • The efficiency ratio for the quarter was 58.80%, an improvement from59.57% last quarter.

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Dave Storms
Director of Research Stonegate Capital Markets
Dave is the Director of Research for Stonegate Capital Markets and provides contract research and valuation services for Stonegate Capital Partners. Dave joined the firm in 2022 and covers multiple sectors. Prior to this, he was an equity research analyst at Goldman Sachs. He was formerly a Senior investment analyst at Beneficial Financial Group, an analyst at Valuation Research Corporation, and an investment analyst with The Board of Pensions (PCUSA) focused on public equities
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