Stonegate Updates Coverage on NCS Multistage Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: NCSM) 2025 Q2

Key Takeaways

  • Second quarter revenue rose 23% y/y to $36.5M, driven by strong U.S. and International activity.
  • Adj. EBITDA improved to $2.2M; EPS of $0.34 includes $1.4M tax benefit.
  • In 2Q25, NCSM closed the acquisition of ResMetrics, adding a high-margin diagnostics business expected to contribute $4–5M in revenue and $1–1.5M in EBITDA in FY25.

DALLAS, TX -- August 4th, 2025 --  NCS Multistage Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: NCSM): Stonegate Capital Partners updates their coverage on NCS Multistage Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: NCSM). In 2Q25, NCSM reported total revenues of $36.5M, a 22.8% year-over-year increase, outperforming broader industry activity levels. Growth was primarily driven by increased fracturing systems activity and frac plug sales in both Canada and the U.S., despite a 52% sequential revenue decline in Canada due to spring break-up. International revenues declined year-over-year due to reduced tracer diagnostics work in the Middle East but were up 67.2% sequentially, supported by higher equipment sales in the North Sea. U.S. revenues rose 45% sequentially as previously delayed projects resumed. Adjusted Gross margins came in at 35.7%, down from 40.3% in 2Q24. Going forward, we continue to expect modest revenue and margin growth through FY25, supported by resilience in core product lines and contributions from the recent ResMetrics acquisition. 

Company Updates:

Quarterly Results: NCSM reported revenue, gross profit, and adj EBITDA of $50.0M, $21.9M, and $8.2M, respectively. This compares to our estimates of $27.6M, $10.8M, and $(1.1)M, respectively. This growth was driven by an outperformance in both products and services. The EPS for this quarter was $0.36, compared to $(1.21) in the same quarter last year. We expect NCSM to maintain reasonably strong margins due to increasing market capture in the international markets through FY25.

Balance Sheet, Liquidity, and Cash Flows: NCSM ended 2Q25 with net working capital of $64.0M, a sequential increase of 13% from $56.4M at year-end 2024, driven by increases in accounts receivable and inventory, and lower accrued expenses following bonus payouts earlier in the year. The Company reported $25.4M in cash and had an additional $17.2M available under its undrawn revolving credit facility, resulting in a total liquidity position of $42.6M. This liquidity compares favorably to total debt of only $7.7M, consisting entirely of lease obligations. Free cash flow and less distributions to non-controlling interest was a source of $0.5M in 1H25, down from $3.2M in the prior-year period. The decline reflects higher working capital demands, including incentive bonus payments and share-based compensation in 1Q.

ResMetrics Acquisition: On July 31, 2025, NCSM closed the all-cash acquisition of ResMetrics LLC for $5.9M plus an earn-out of up to $1.3M dependent on 2025 chemical tariff adjustments. ResMetrics, a leading chemical tracer diagnostics firm, generated $10M+ in trailing 12-month revenue with an EBITDA margin over 30%. The deal is immediately accretive, with expected revenue contribution of $4–5M and EBITDA of $1–1.5M for the remainder of FY25. ResMetrics enhances NCSM’s existing diagnostics portfolio, expands its customer base in the U.S. and Middle East, and provides a high-quality analytical lab and digital platform (PetroXY) to actionable insights to customers. The acquisition is aligned with management’s goal of expanding into adjacent high-margin diagnostics markets and scaling international operations.

Updated Guidance: The Company is guiding to a combined full year revenue range of $172.0M to $181.0M. This is coupled with a full year $22.0M to $25.5M adjusted EBITDA guidance. We have made modest adjustments to our model.

Valuation: We use both a DCF and EV/EBITDA comp analysis to guide our valuation. Our DCF analysis produces a valuation range of $38.09 to $44.52 with a mid-point of $40.89. Our EV/EBITDA valuation results in a range of $39.44 to $44.67 with a mid-point of $42.06.


About Stonegate
Stonegate Capital Partners is a leading capital markets advisory firm providing investor relations, equity research, and institutional investor outreach services for public companies. Our affiliate, Stonegate Capital Markets (member FINRA) provides a full spectrum of investment banking, equity research and capital raising for public and private companies.

Key Takeaways

  • Second quarter revenue rose 23% y/y to $36.5M, driven by strong U.S. and International activity.
  • Adj. EBITDA improved to $2.2M; EPS of $0.34 includes $1.4M tax benefit.
  • In 2Q25, NCSM closed the acquisition of ResMetrics, adding a high-margin diagnostics business expected to contribute $4–5M in revenue and $1–1.5M in EBITDA in FY25.

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Dave Storms
Director of Research Stonegate Capital Markets
Dave is the Director of Research for Stonegate Capital Markets and provides contract research and valuation services for Stonegate Capital Partners. Dave joined the firm in 2022 and covers multiple sectors. Prior to this, he was an equity research analyst at Goldman Sachs. He was formerly a Senior investment analyst at Beneficial Financial Group, an analyst at Valuation Research Corporation, and an investment analyst with The Board of Pensions (PCUSA) focused on public equities
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