Stonegate Capital Partners Updates Coverage on Seabridge Gold Inc. (NYSE: SA) 4Q25

Key Takeaways

  • KSM JV catalyst advancing - Seabridge is progressing toward a potential joint venture partner for its flagship KSM project,representing a key inflection point to unlock third-party capital and drive apotential re-rating.
  • Courageous Lake spin-out expected in 2026 - Planned separation into Valor Gold is intended to surface standalone value currently attributed at little or no value in SA’s share price.
  • Valuation disconnect vs. underlying asset value - Shares imply ~0.5x NPV (~$15–16B / ~$150 per share) versus >$30B NPV at spot, with multiple near-term catalysts positioned to close the gap.

DALLAS, TX -- April 13th, 2026 -- Seabridge Gold Inc. (NYSE: SA): Stonegate Capital Partners Updates Coverage on Seabridge Gold Inc. (NYSE: SA). Seabridge Gold (“SA”) is a North American gold-copper developer anchored by KSM, one of the largest undeveloped gold-copper projects globally. The Company’s strategy is to maximize per-share value by advancing large-scale assets to a partner-ready stage and monetizing via joint venture, rather than self-funding multi-billion-dollar mine builds. At ~$3–4B market cap, SA appears to meaningfully discount the value of KSM and its broader asset base, despite multiple near-term catalysts expected to surface value.

Why Now:

• KSM JV process advancing - potential near-term re-rating catalyst as project transitions to partner-funded development

• Courageous Lake spin-out (Valor Gold, expected Q2 2026) - intended to surface standalone value currently attributed at little or no value

• Snip North (Iskut) maiden resource (2026) - emerging second largescale gold-copper system

• Infrastructure and permitting milestones achieved - “Substantially Started” status secures permits for life and >$500M invested to date

KSM: KSM remains the core value driver and a potential near-term inflection point. The project is fully permitted, located in a Tier 1 jurisdiction, and supported by significant infrastructure investment, including power, access roads, and site development. The 2022 PFS outlines a 33-year mine life with first-quartile costs and significant copper by-product credits. Seabridge is actively advancing discussions with a preferred JV partner, with a potential announcement representing the key catalyst to unlock third-party capital, validate project economics, and re-rate the equity.

Courageous Lake: Courageous Lake represents a second Tier 1 asset with 11.0Moz of M&I gold resources and robust economics outlined in the 2024 PFS. The planned spin-out into Valor Gold, expected to be completed in 2026, is designed to crystallize value and provide shareholders with direct exposure to a standalone development vehicle. We view the spin-out as a clear value-unlocking event, particularly given limited recognition of the asset in SA’s current valuation.

Exploration Portfolio: Beyond KSM and Courageous Lake, Seabridge maintains a portfolio of 100%-owned exploration assets. At Iskut, drilling at Snip North has confirmed a large-scale gold-copper system extending over ~2km, with a maiden resource expected in 2026. Management views Iskut as a potential “second KSM,” providing longer-term optionality.

Summary: Seabridge is entering a period where multiple value realization paths are converging, including JV execution at KSM, the Courageous Lake spin-out, and new resource delineation at Iskut. In our view, the current valuation does not fully reflect these catalysts or the scale and quality of the underlying asset base.

Valuation:  When valuing SA we apply a EV/NAV range of 0.8x to 0.9x which results in a valuation of USD$67.09 to USD$75.99 with a midpoint of USD$71.54. When using an EV/In-Situ valuation method we apply a multiple range of 7.0x to 9.0x which results in a valuation of USD$68.43 to USD$89.17 with a midpoint of USD$78.80. 


About Stonegate
Stonegate Capital Partners is a leading capital markets advisory firm providing investor relations, equity research, and institutional investor outreach services for public companies. Our affiliate, Stonegate Capital Markets (member FINRA) provides a full spectrum of investment banking services for public and private companies.

SOURCE: Stonegate, Inc.

Key Takeaways

  • KSM JV catalyst advancing - Seabridge is progressing toward a potential joint venture partner for its flagship KSM project,representing a key inflection point to unlock third-party capital and drive apotential re-rating.
  • Courageous Lake spin-out expected in 2026 - Planned separation into Valor Gold is intended to surface standalone value currently attributed at little or no value in SA’s share price.
  • Valuation disconnect vs. underlying asset value - Shares imply ~0.5x NPV (~$15–16B / ~$150 per share) versus >$30B NPV at spot, with multiple near-term catalysts positioned to close the gap.

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Dave Storms
Director of Research Stonegate Capital Markets
Dave is the Director of Research for Stonegate Capital Markets and provides contract research and valuation services for Stonegate Capital Partners. Dave joined the firm in 2022 and covers multiple sectors. Prior to this, he was an equity research analyst at Goldman Sachs. He was formerly a Senior investment analyst at Beneficial Financial Group, an analyst at Valuation Research Corporation, and an investment analyst with The Board of Pensions (PCUSA) focused on public equities
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