Stonegate Capital Partners Updates 3Q25 Report on OppFi, Inc. (NYSE: OPFI)

Key Takeaways

  • Total revenue increased 13.5% y/y to $155.1M; Adjusted net income rose 41% y/y to a record $40.7M.
  • Total net originations increased 12.5% y/y to a record $246.1M; ending receivables grew 16.3% to $481.0M.
  • Raised FY25 outlook for the third straight quarter, guiding revenue to $590–$605M and Adjusted Net Income to $137–$142M (Adj. EPS $1.54–$1.60).

DALLAS, TX -- October 30th, 2025 -- OppFi, Inc. (NYSE: OPFI) : Stonegate Capital Partners Updates Coverage on OppFi (NYSE: OPFI). OPFI reported revenue, adj. Net Income, and adj. EPS of $155.1M, $40.7M, and $0.46, respectively. This compares to our/consensus estimates of $155.2M/$153.4M, $27.4M/$28.9M, and $0.30/$0.32. Net revenue margin was 67.4% for the quarter, reflecting a year-over-year expansion of 70 bps from 3Q24. This quarter’s strong performance was driven by yet another record total revenue of $155.1M, a 13.5% y/y increase, complimented by growth in originations from new customers, operating discipline, and scale benefits. Net income increased by 136.9% y/y to $75.9M, primarily due to lower expenses and a $32.0M non-cash gain from lower warrant fair value. Adjusted net income increased by 41.0% y/y to $40.7M, setting another new quarterly record for the Company. Adjusted EPS rose to $0.46, compared to $0.33 in the prior-year period. Adjusted net income margin expanded 520 bps y/y to 26.3%, reflecting operating discipline and scale benefits. 

Company Updates:

Liquidity and Balance Sheet: OppFi ended 3Q25 with $75.2M in cash and restricted cash, including $45.4M in unrestricted cash, down from $61.3M in 4Q24. The Company maintains a total funding capacity of $600.2M, including $204.2M in undrawn debt. Year-to-Date, OppFi generated $66.1M in free cash flow, enabling continued investment in growth and a $21.7M special dividend paid in 3Q25. The Company also made $7.4M of share repurchases in 3Q25 with a new $150M Castlelake facility that reduces financing costs by 150 bps.

Originations: Total net originations for 3Q25 increased 12.5% y/y to $246.1M, driven by stronger demand and credit-model upgrades enabling larger average loans. Retained net originations grew 8% y/y to $215.2M, while receivables ended rose 16% y/y to $481.0M. The auto-approval rate increased to 79%, up from 77% in the prior-year period, reflecting ongoing improvements in automation and risk stratification through OppFi’s Model 6 platform.

Lending Standards: Credit quality was stable to slightly softer in 3Q25, with the net charge-off rate increasing to 35.1% of total revenue, up ~100 bps from a year ago, but down from 42% in 4Q24. Annualized net charge-offs as a percentage of average receivables increased to 47% from 46% last year, driven by elevated early-summer charge-offs, offset by improved recoveries. Losses are a result of continued use of risk-based pricing and the Model 6.1 refit (rolling out in 4Q and fully in 1Q26) to tighten higher-risk segments while sustaining growth.

Guidance: On the back of continued momentum, OppFi raised the low end of its FY25 revenue guidance to $590–$605M, up from $578–$605M. The Company also increased adjusted net income guidance to $137–$142M (from $125–$130M) and adjusted EPS to $1.54–$1.60 (from $1.39–$1.44), based on ~89.0 million diluted shares. We believe OppFi remains well positioned to meet or exceed its guidance based on FY25 trends.

Valuation: We use a P/E comp analysis to guide our valuation. Our valuation relies on a P/E multiple range of 8.5x to 9.5x with a midpoint of 9.0x This arrives at a valuation range of $14.56 to $16.28 with a mid-point of $15.42.


About Stonegate
Stonegate Capital Partners is a leading capital markets advisory firm providing investor relations, equity research, and institutional investor outreach services for public companies. Our affiliate, Stonegate Capital Markets (member FINRA) provides a full spectrum of investment banking services for public and private companies.

Key Takeaways

  • Total revenue increased 13.5% y/y to $155.1M; Adjusted net income rose 41% y/y to a record $40.7M.
  • Total net originations increased 12.5% y/y to a record $246.1M; ending receivables grew 16.3% to $481.0M.
  • Raised FY25 outlook for the third straight quarter, guiding revenue to $590–$605M and Adjusted Net Income to $137–$142M (Adj. EPS $1.54–$1.60).

Media Gallery

Related Bios

Dave Storms
Director of Research Stonegate Capital Markets
Dave is the Director of Research for Stonegate Capital Markets and provides contract research and valuation services for Stonegate Capital Partners. Dave joined the firm in 2022 and covers multiple sectors. Prior to this, he was an equity research analyst at Goldman Sachs. He was formerly a Senior investment analyst at Beneficial Financial Group, an analyst at Valuation Research Corporation, and an investment analyst with The Board of Pensions (PCUSA) focused on public equities
View Full Bio>>

Contacts

Stonegate Capital Partners
info@stonegateinc.com
(214) 987-4121
General